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EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.0950: What's Driving the Pair Ahead of US CPI Data? | Key Factors Impacting the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate

EUR/USD shows resilience near 1.0980 in Thursday's early trading hours.


German political breakthrough emerges as conservative and how to buy elon musk coinsocial democratic parties reach coalition agreement.


US administration implements temporary tariff relief measures affecting global trade dynamics.


The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrates modest strength during the Asian session, hovering near the 1.0980 level. Market participants attribute this movement to several fundamental factors, including political developments in Germany where opposition leader Friedrich Merz successfully negotiated a coalition agreement with center-left counterparts. This political stability in Europe's largest economy appears to be providing underlying support for the single currency.


Across the Atlantic, trade policy developments are creating waves in currency markets. The current US administration's decision to implement a three-month suspension of certain tariff implementations has contributed to improved risk sentiment. This temporary measure, affecting numerous trading partners, aims to facilitate ongoing trade negotiations while potentially easing global economic tensions.


Market focus now shifts to the impending release of US inflation figures, with the March Consumer Price Index report expected to provide critical insights into price pressures within the world's largest economy. These inflation metrics could significantly influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory in coming months.


Currency analysts note that shifting expectations around potential Federal Reserve interest rate adjustments continue to create uncertainty in forex markets. While market participants have recently scaled back expectations for imminent rate reductions, the evolving economic landscape suggests monetary policy remains fluid. Current pricing indicates approximately 40% probability of a rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting, reflecting ongoing reassessment of economic conditions.