Welcome!

GBP/USD Rebound: Temporary Relief or Start of New Uptrend? | Key Levels to Watch Amid Dollar Weakness

The How long does it take to mine 1 Dogecoin?GBP/USD exchange rate has demonstrated modest upward movement during Thursday's trading session, finding temporary support near the 1.2610-1.2615 zone after reaching its lowest valuation since mid-May. The currency pair currently fluctuates around the 1.2630 handle, registering less than 0.10% daily appreciation as market participants await significant US economic indicators before establishing fresh positions.

This minor rebound coincides with the US dollar index retreating from Wednesday's two-month peak, providing limited support for the sterling. However, persistently high US Treasury yields continue to bolster the greenback, reflecting persistent market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates longer than previously anticipated. Concurrently, growing speculation about potential Bank of England rate reductions in August may continue weighing on the British currency, particularly with the UK general election approaching in early July.

Technical indicators reveal concerning signals for GBP/USD bulls. The pair's decisive break below the critical 1.2645-1.2650 support cluster - representing the convergence of 50-day and 100-day moving averages - has activated additional selling pressure. Daily chart momentum oscillators continue trending downward, reinforcing the current bearish technical bias. Should the pair sustain trading below the psychologically significant 1.2600 threshold, further declines toward the 1.2555-1.2560 support area appear increasingly probable.

Potential upside scenarios remain constrained by multiple resistance barriers. Any recovery attempt above the former support-turned-resistance zone near 1.2645-1.2650 will likely encounter renewed selling interest before reaching the 1.2700 psychological level. A sustained breakout above this barrier would require confirmation through consecutive closes above 1.2720-1.2725, potentially opening the path toward 1.2800. In such an event, the June 12 peak near 1.2860 and the 1.2900 round number would emerge as subsequent upside targets.

Market participants should closely monitor upcoming US economic releases, including inflation metrics and growth indicators, which could significantly influence Federal Reserve policy expectations and consequently impact dollar valuation. The currency pair's near-term trajectory will likely remain contingent on these fundamental developments, with technical levels providing important reference points for potential entry and exit strategies.